CLICK HERE to read the article posted on my New Jersey blog.
CLICK HERE to read the article posted on my New Jersey blog.
By Eric Sedler – Red State | January 27, 2008
Red Jersey has updated it’s newly brought back events calendar with a New Jersey for Mike Huckabee “Old-Fashioned Political Rally” that will take place on February 2nd on the Village Green in Downtown Summit (Union County).
Peter Kane, New Jersey State Director of the Huckabee campaign will be among the featured speakers. For more details, check out our events calendar.
Our Partner Theresa Markham of the Summit Meetup group has come across an exceptional deal for Huckabee supporters.
Get your Lawn Signs by visiting her HERE!
The link is on the right side of the page.
…Thanks Theresa – Nice work!
NJLocal – Visit NJCOMMUNITY
Ron Paul activists pretty much took over the room at the Forge Inn in Woodbridge NJ Sat. for the NJ Conservative Presidential Straw Poll.
Over 200 attended with 126 votes garnered for Paul. Thompson was a distant second, Mitt Romney tallyed 22 and Gov. Huckabee pulled in 15 votes – had the amount of supporters that showed up at the Meetup group last Wed., Huckabee would’ve pulled in a much healthier second place finish. There were not many “undecided” voters as everyone in attendance that I noticed had a stickier or button for their choice candidate.
Peter Kane was the surrogate speaker for Gov. Huckabee and as usual did a fabulous job representing the former Governor.
Huckabee supporters were optimistic however – their candidate pulled in ahead of New Jersey favorite – Rudy Giuliani.
See more on the Straw Poll HERE
What an exciting event it was. It was awsome hearing all the supporter testimony’s. This meetup has grown exponentially – from roughly 1/2 dozen in November to roughly 30 people showing up – with many more members who didn’t make it
Here’s some pics of the event.
… but we already knew that ;o) sshhhh… New Jersey is in for a surprise.
For months, the Republican establishment in New York and New Jersey marched nearly in lock step behind Rudolph W. Giuliani, the former hometown mayor they were confident would become their party’s nominee for president.
But as Mr. Giuliani has plummeted from first to fourth — or worse — in some national polls, as he finished near the bottom of the pack in the nation’s earliest primaries, and as his lead evaporated even in Florida, the state on which he has gambled the most time and money, those Republican leaders are verging toward a grim new consensus:
If Mr. Giuliani loses in the Florida primary on Jan. 29, they say, he may even have trouble defeating the rivals who are encroaching on his own backyard.
“It’s pretty certain that he has to win Florida,” said Guy V. Molinari, the former Staten Island borough president, who is co-chairman of Mr. Giuliani’s campaign in New York.
Those supporters say they are confident that if Mr. Giuliani carries Florida or runs a very close second, he will remain the odds-on favorite to claim virtually all of the delegates from the New York, New Jersey and Connecticut primaries on Feb. 5, when Republicans in 22 states vote.
But if Mr. Giuliani is relegated to a distant second or worse in Florida, even some of his supporters acknowledge that New York’s primary one week later would most likely be up for grabs, with Senator John McCain of Arizona and former Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts being Mr. Giuliani’s strongest rivals. Like Mr. Giuliani, both are fielding full delegate slates in all 29 of the state’s Congressional districts.
“If he carries Florida, he carries New York,” said Fred Siegel, a Cooper Union historian who has served as an adviser to the former mayor and written a largely admiring biography of him. But winning Florida would require “a miraculous comeback,” he said, adding: “I wouldn’t bet on it.”
With 101 delegates from New York, 52 from New Jersey and 30 from Connecticut, the region accounts for about 15 percent of the magic number needed for the Republican nomination. All three are winner-take-all contests.
Mr. Giuliani’s precipitous decline in national and state polls in recent weeks has prompted many of his leading supporters in the metropolitan area to raise questions about his strategy of largely ignoring early races in Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan to focus on Florida. He received little news coverage during those primaries, then finished poorly in each.
“I think that a lot of what’s happening in general is the early campaigning in Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan playing an active role, and the fact that Rudy chose not to compete,” said Guy F. Talarico, a Giuliani supporter who is the former chairman of the Republican Party in Bergen County, N.J. “People are focusing on that and saying, ‘When are we going to get in the game?’ ”
Still, once the campaign circles back to the metropolitan area, “I think he’s going to win New Jersey,” Mr. Talarico said.
A senior Republican strategist, who is allied with Mr. Giuliani and is working with Republican legislative candidates in New York, said Mr. Giuliani’s decision to circumvent the early primaries was a “big gamble” that for the moment looked in danger of failing.
“Who knows if it will work,” said the strategist, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he had not been authorized by the campaign to speak publicly. “But the danger is what you are seeing now. We’re obviously concerned.”
In Florida, a Quinnipiac University poll of likely Republican voters found last month that Mr. Giuliani was leading the pack with 28 percent, followed by former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas with 21 percent and Mr. Romney with 20 percent. But a follow-up survey last week found the race statistically tied among four candidates: Mr. Giuliani, Mr. McCain, Mr. Huckabee and Mr. Romney.
Mr. Giuliani’s poll numbers have declined in Florida even though he has invested heavily there. The former mayor spent almost $600,000 on television advertising in Florida between Dec. 8 and Jan. 6, second only to Mr. Romney, who spent $676,851, according to Campaign Media Analysis Group, a political advertising research firm.
Almost all of Mr. Giuliani’s spending came in the final 10 days of that period, when Mr. Romney stopped buying ads.
The race has also narrowed in New Jersey, according to a poll released this week by Monmouth University/Gannett. The poll showed Mr. McCain leading by 29 percent to Mr. Giuliani’s 25 percent, a difference that is within the poll’s margin of sampling error. In September, the same poll found Mr. Giuliani 32 percentage points ahead of his nearest rival, Mr. McCain.
TONIGHT – Wednesday, Jan 16, 2008, 8:00 PM 20080117T010000Z
WHERE – Scotchwood Diner: Route 22 Eastbound Scotch Plains, NJ 07076 (908) 322-4114
Only 40 members (including guests) can RSVP ‘Yes’ for this Meetup. There’s still room for 17 more.
23 members have said Yes