In the new poll conducted by the Concord Monitor, Obama surpasses the New York senator by 1 percentage point: 32 percent to 31 percent. Meanwhile, John Edwards comes in a distant third with 15 percent support among likely Democratic voters, while Bill Richardson is fourth with 7 percent.
Speaking to reporters in Iowa Friday, Clinton commented on several recent polls both in Iowa and New Hampshire that show she is tied with Obama.
“I guess I’ve been in enough campaigns over a lot of years to know that there is no predictability and there certainly is no inevitability,” she said. “You have to get out and work for every single vote. That’s what I have always done. I don’t know any other way to do it.”
Meanwhile, at a separate event in Iowa, Obama commented on his rise in the polls, saying, “people are receptive to this message of change.”
“I am confident in my ability to lead this country,” he said. “And increasingly we are doing well. Not just here in Iowa but across the country.”
Obama’s chances of success in the Granite State will likely hinge on how many independents show up at the polls. Unlike many states, New Hampshire allows unaffiliated voters to vote in either the Republican primary or the Democratic primary — an allowance that often can give a boost to candidates who are viewed as outside their party establishment.
Of independent voters who are likely to vote in the Democratic primary, the poll shows Obama has a wide lead over Clinton, 40 percent to 23 percent. Meanwhile Clinton holds the lead over Obama when it comes to registered Democrats in the state, 36 percent to 27 percent.
The poll also shows Obama is making inroads with women in the Granite State. The Illinois senator now edges out Clinton in that demographic, 34 percent to 32 percent.
The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.